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Japan

Yen breaches 160 to dollar; JGB yield highest in nearly 3 decades

The Japanese yen fell to 160 against the dollar, breaching a key psychological level as US-Japan interest rate differentials widened. Japanese government bond yields hit their highest level in nearly three decades, reflecting expectations for further BoJ policy normalization.

Nikkei Asia177 h agoN225
Tokyo skyline with night lights
Photo: miyou_ 77 / Pexels

The yen weakened past 160 per dollar, hitting its lowest level in three years as interest rate differentials favored dollar holdings. Japanese 10-year government bond yields climbed to 1.2%, their highest level since the late 1990s, reflecting market expectations for BoJ tightening after years of ultra-loose policy.

The yen weakness benefits Japanese exporters but raises costs for import-dependent sectors. For energy-importing Japan, the combination of yen depreciation and rising oil prices from the Iran war significantly increases energy import bills. Firms in petrochemical-heavy sectors face margin compression. The Ministry of Finance has signaled caution about excessive yen weakness but has limited tools to counter the move given broader structural factors.

BoJ rate-hike expectations have strengthened, with markets pricing in two to three quarter-point increases starting mid-2026. This tightening cycle poses a headwind for equities after Japan's Nikkei 225 reached all-time highs earlier in the year, with markets now reassessing valuations in light of a shrinking rate-cut window.

Source: Nikkei Asia

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