Yen breaches 160 to dollar; JGB yield highest in nearly 3 decades
The Japanese yen fell to 160 against the dollar, breaching a key psychological level as US-Japan interest rate differentials widened. Japanese government bond yields hit their highest level in nearly three decades, reflecting expectations for further BoJ policy normalization.

The yen weakened past 160 per dollar, hitting its lowest level in three years as interest rate differentials favored dollar holdings. Japanese 10-year government bond yields climbed to 1.2%, their highest level since the late 1990s, reflecting market expectations for BoJ tightening after years of ultra-loose policy.
The yen weakness benefits Japanese exporters but raises costs for import-dependent sectors. For energy-importing Japan, the combination of yen depreciation and rising oil prices from the Iran war significantly increases energy import bills. Firms in petrochemical-heavy sectors face margin compression. The Ministry of Finance has signaled caution about excessive yen weakness but has limited tools to counter the move given broader structural factors.
BoJ rate-hike expectations have strengthened, with markets pricing in two to three quarter-point increases starting mid-2026. This tightening cycle poses a headwind for equities after Japan's Nikkei 225 reached all-time highs earlier in the year, with markets now reassessing valuations in light of a shrinking rate-cut window.
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