Russian paramilitary carried out air strikes in Mali as rebels advanced, footage shows

Russian paramilitary forces, documented by video footage, conducted air strikes in Mali over the weekend as rebel groups launched a coordinated offensive against government positions. The Africa Corps (formerly known as Wagner) deployed airpower after losing control of Kidal, a strategic northern garrison, to advancing rebel forces. The offensive marks the most serious security challenge to Mali's military junta since it took power, threatening Russia's security foothold in the Sahel.

France and the UK have issued evacuation orders for citizens, citing deteriorating security. The Mali military, which came to power promising improved security, is facing embarrassing setbacks that undermine its stated mission. Analysts warn the junta may intensify controversial counterinsurgency tactics to restore momentum, risking further civilian casualties. The Malian government's links to Islamist groups and mercenary forces have drawn international criticism.

Geopolitically, Mali's instability highlights the wider Sahel competition between Russia and Western powers. After France's withdrawal in 2022, Russia expanded its security footprint, but the recent rebel advances expose the limits of Moscow's ability to secure client states. The conflict could accelerate Sahel instability, pushing more refugees toward North Africa and fueling extremist recruitment, with long-term consequences for European security and migration pressures.