Will the US invade? Three ways the Cuba crisis could play out
The Trump administration has been applying intense economic pressure on the island's government. BBC weighs three possible ways the escalating Cuba crisis could unfold.
As Washington's economic pressure on Cuba escalates, a BBC analysis weighs three possible ways the crisis could unfold. The Trump administration has tightened sanctions and financial restrictions targeting the island's government.
The first scenario sees the pressure used as leverage that gives way to negotiation. The second points to a prolonged economic squeeze that deepens fuel and power shortages on the island. The third covers the most extreme possibility, in which a direct military option enters the conversation, though analysts describe that as the least likely.
Havana frames the pressure campaign as a threat to its sovereignty, while Washington defends its steps on security grounds. The BBC notes that each scenario could carry different consequences for regional stability and migration flows. The course of events remains highly uncertain.
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