BBC analysis: Israel-Iran flare-up could strengthen Tehran's negotiating hand
A BBC Middle East analysis argues that Iran appears emboldened by the outcome of recent weeks' Israel-Iran flare-up, and that its leaders may sense President Donald Trump's appetite for risk is low. That could give Tehran additional manoeuvring room at the negotiating table.
A BBC Middle East analysis argues that the recent weeks' series of confrontations between Israel and Iran has produced a psychological outcome that favours Tehran. According to the piece, Iran's leadership senses that President Donald Trump's appetite for a broad and prolonged military conflict is limited.
The BBC reports that sources in Tehran could harden Iran's approach to talks and take more confident steps regarding the backing of its allies. U.S. and European diplomats say the tone of the negotiating package on Iran's nuclear programme, sanctions and regional security could shift.
The analysis suggests that Tel Aviv may revisit its regional alliances under domestic political pressure, and that Gulf states could take on new roles in the equation. The BBC says that if talks resume, several uncertainties for energy and currency markets could ease materially, although the risk of miscalculation will remain high.
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